NEW YORK, RAW – The Dow rose and the S&P 500 ended lower in choppy trade on Friday, as beaten-down bank shares gained and investors grappled with how best to deal with an economy that could skid as the Federal Reserve moves to aggressively tackle inflation.
The yield on the benchmark 10-year US Treasury note hit a three-year high of 2.73 per cent, helping boost the S&P banking index , which rose 1.18 per cent, after slumping to 13-month lows on Thursday. The index is down 10.8 per cent year to date.
The big rate-sensitive lenders all rose, with JPMorgan Chase & Co gaining 1.8 per cent, Bank of America Corp 0.7 per cent, Citigroup Inc 1.7 per cent and Goldman Sachs Group Inc 2.3 per cent.
Since peaking at two-month highs in late March, the market has trended lower as the Fed signals it will aggressively hike rates, leading investors to reposition their portfolios. Economically sensitive value shares this year have outperformed tech-heavy growth stocks, which often depend on low rates.
“We’re going into a very long-term and meaningful period of value outperforming growth. It’s not merely a cyclical adjustment, but a secular story,” said David Bahnsen, chief investment officer at wealth manager the Bahnsen Group in Newport Beach, California.
“The value-growth story is a big one and it is a byproduct of two things, which is what you want. Growth is overvalued and value is undervalued,” he said.
The Russell 1000 Value index rose 0.51 per cent while the Russell 1000 Growth index fell 1.09 per cent on the day.
Investors are weighing the probability of a recession with two outcomes. On the one hand, the Fed could engineer a “soft landing” with slowing but positive growth, making banks “woefully oversold,” said UBS bank analyst Erika Najarian.
Or a sharp slowdown is imminent, which would cause a knee-jerk bank share sale as “owning banks in a recession is no fun,” she said.
Big US banks, which kick off the first-quarter results season next week, are expected to report a large decline in earnings from a year earlier, when they benefited from exceptionally strong dealmaking and trading.
“There’s always going to be a price at some point where people are going to step in and think things are cheap and they might buy,” said Randy Frederick, managing director, trading and derivatives, at Schwab Centre for Financial Research.
“Perhaps a 52-week low was enough to entice some people into the financial sector,” Frederick said, noting the 10-year Treasury yield was at its highest level since March 2019.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 137.55 points, or 0.4 per cent, to 34,721.12, the S&P 500 lost 11.93 points, or 0.27 per cent, to 4,488.28 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 186.30 points, or 1.34 per cent, to 13,711.00.
Volume on US exchanges was 10.37 billion shares.
For the week, the S&P fell 1.16 per cent, the Dow lost 0.28 per cent and the Nasdaq shed 3.86 per cent, as the index was hit after Fed officials raised concerns about rapid rate hikes causing a slowdown.
Shares of Tesla Inc, Nvidia Corp and Alphabet Inc fell between 1.9 per cent and 4.5 per cent as megacap stocks extended this week’s decline as the surge in Treasury yields weighed.
The NYSE FANG+TM index, which includes Amazon.com Inc and Apple Inc, fell 1.76 per cent and semiconductor stocks slid 2.42 per cent, extending the week’s decline.
Robinhood Markets Inc fell 6.88 per cent after a report said Goldman Sachs downgraded the online brokerage, while Kroger Co jumped 2.99 per cent on a ratings upgrade.
Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.20-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.66-to-1 ratio favoured decliners.
The S&P 500 posted 58 new 52-week highs and two new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 53 new highs and 184 new lows.