NEW YORK, RAW – Wall Street closed near record highs in light trading on Friday, the last trading day of 2021, marking the second year of recovery from a global pandemic.
All three major US stock indexes scored monthly, quarterly and annual gains, notching their biggest three-year advance since 1999.
The S&P 500 gained 27 per cent since the last trading day of 2020. Through Thursday, the benchmark index has registered 70 record-high closes, or the second-most ever. Using Refinitiv data back to 1928, the most record-high closes for the S&P 500 in a single year was 77 in 1995.
The Dow added 18.73 per cent for the year, and the Nasdaq gained 21.4 per cent.
Companies, consumers and the broader economy largely thrived in 2021 as they felt their way forward amid a constantly shifting landscape including a tumultuous transfer of power marked by the January 6 Capitol riot.
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Other factors included the “meme stock” phenomenon, new COVID-19 variants, a labour shortage, generous fiscal/monetary stimulus, hobbled supply chains, booming demand and the resulting price spikes.
“What stands out to us this year among all the negatives, is the resiliency of Corporate America,” said Ryan Detrick, chief market strategist at LPL Financial in Charlotte, North Carolina.
“In a sea of uncertainty and higher prices, you have to be extremely impressed by how agile and adaptive Corporate America was to sport 45 per cent earnings growth in a very difficult year.”
Indeed, earnings results from S&P 500 companies blew past analyst estimates to deliver year-on-year growth in the first three quarters of the year of 52.8 per cent, 96.3 per cent and 42.6 per cent, respectively, according to Refinitiv, which currently sees fourth-quarter annual earnings growth of 22.3 per cent.
Energy, real estate and microchips, sectors associated with economic recovery and booming demand, were among 2021’s top performers, with growth stocks’ 31 per cent advance handily outperforming the 22 per cent gain in value stocks.
Market-leading tech and tech-adjacent megacap stocks, which outperformed the broader market in the first year of the global health crisis, were laggards as the economy slowly reopened and vaccines were deployed.
The NYSE FANG+ index, an equal-weighted group of 10 such stocks, notched a nearly 20 per cent advance on the year. Google parent Alphabet Inc posted the biggest annual advance among NYSE FANG+ constituents, enjoying its best year since 2009.
Dow Transports, considered by many a barometer of economic health, registered a yearly gain of more than 31 per cent.
Steadily rising Treasury yields – along with a recent hawkish shift from the Federal Reserve, which now foresees as many as three rate hikes in the coming year – have supported interest rate-sensitive financials which gained nearly 33 per cent.
The COVID-19 pandemic, which burst onto the scene in early 2020 and prompted the steepest, quickest economic contraction in history, continues to linger, pressuring travel-related stocks.
The S&P 1500 Airlines index ended 2021 as one of the year’s few losing sectors with an annual decline of nearly two per cent.
But early data suggests the Omicron variant, which has caused an abrupt spike in global infections, is less virulent than its predecessors and economic data is increasingly suggesting a return to normal, two years after the first cases of COVID-19 were reported.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 59.78 points, or 0.16 per cent, to 36,338.3, the S&P 500 lost 12.55 points, or 0.26 per cent, to 4,766.18 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 96.59 points, or 0.61 per cent, to 15,644.97.
Volume on US exchanges was 7.6 billion shares, compared with the 10.55 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.
Of the 11 major sectors in the S&P 500, consumer staples sector was up the most in Friday’s session, with communications services suffering the biggest percentage drop.
Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 1.39-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.18-to-1 ratio favoured decliners.
The S&P 500 posted 47 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 58 new highs and 143 new lows.
