Trading & Technical Analysis

The Worst Is Over For Oil Markets

Some analysts see the world dodging a recession next year, which provides some upward room for oil prices. Last week, the IEA warned last week that “the hefty supply cushion” building up in the first half of 2020 will cause OPEC+ problems as the group tries to balance the oil market. Part of the reason…

ASX Medical Marijuana Stocks – Buy, Wait and See, or Stay Away

On 5 December of 1996 the Chairman of the US Federal Reserve, Alan Greenspan, coined a phrase that should be etched in the psyche of all retail investors – irrational exuberance. It was the time of the dot.com stocks qualifying as “next big thing” stock market entries, sometimes backed by little more than a paper…

Big US Stocks’ Q3’ 2019 Fundamentals

The US stock markets have surged to all-time-record highs, fueled by extreme Fed easing. It jawboned about rate cutting, slashed rates, and birthed a new large-scale Treasury monetization campaign! All this has left traders hyper-complacent, assuming the upside will continue indefinitely. But are these lofty stock levels fundamentally-justified? The big US stocks’ just-reported Q3’19 results…

Equity market vigilantes

If I say the word “vigilante”, what image springs to mind? For many years it would have been Sylvester Stallone as Rambo. He’s the muscled-up army veteran using his skills to fight corruption and oppressive outcomes. However, it’s fair to say the action hero industry is evolving, and these days we’re increasingly seeing female characters…

Graphene Additives Making their Mark

Some investors lose patience waiting for “next big thing” breakthroughs. The time between concept and commercialisation to generate substantial returns on stock market investments in companies involved with the reportedly revolutionary capabilities of the breakthrough and seem an eternity. Others realize the path from concept to profit can be long and torturous. Such has been…

Investor Signposts: Inflation data hogs the spotlight

CommSec Chief Economist Craig James previews the economic & financial market events scheduled for the week ahead including the State of the States report, Private sector credit & US Federal Reserve rates decision. Australia: Inflation data hogs the spotlight • In Australia, investors will be focussed on the latest inflation report. But the latest data…

Gold Miners Likely To Report Blowout Profits

The gold miners are likely to report blowout profits in this spinning-up Q3’19 earnings season. Higher production, stable costs, and much-higher gold prices should combine for some super-impressive results. That’s going to leave the still-undervalued gold miners much more attractive fundamentally, supporting bigger capital inflows and much-higher stock prices. Q3 should prove the gold miners’…

Is it Time for Ardent Fixed Income Investors to Look for Dividend Paying Stocks?

As October dawned here in Australia, the once unthinkable came to pass – the RBA cut its cash rate to 0.75%, the first time in our history the rate fell below 1%. The cash market is the market for unsecured, overnight loans between financial institutions. Fixed Income investors who follow economic developments were not surprised,…

Investor Signposts: Interest Rate Decision Grabs Centre-Stage

Investor Signposts: Week Beginning September 30 2019 CommSec Senior Economist Ryan Felsman previews the economic & financial market events scheduled for the week ahead including the Reserve Bank interest rate decision, CoreLogic Home Value index & US Non-farm payrolls. Australia: Interest rate decision grabs centre-stage • ‘Top shelf’ economic data returns to the economic release…

Cutting through the noise

Slowing activity and trade wars have fuelled de-risking; but as investors grapple with the uncertainty, Amit Goel, outlines his views on the conflict, the wider ramifications and his rationale for investing in markets which are facing severe scrutiny. How important are the trade wars for investors? Given that 50% of global manufacturing and 25% of…