Zip Co shares (ASX:ZIP) are under pressure, extending recent losses and prompting concerns about the stock’s near-term trajectory. A confluence of factors, ranging from leadership changes to broader market dynamics, appear to be weighing on investor sentiment.

The buy now, pay later (BNPL) provider’s shares fell 5.43% today, contributing to a cumulative decline of 28.66% over the past month. This pullback has brought the stock to the $3.24 support range, raising questions about its ability to hold this level. Year-to-date, Zip shares are up 11.45%, but this positive performance has been significantly eroded by recent losses.

Zip reported its strongest-ever financial results at its Annual General Meeting (AGM) in early November 2025, highlighting improvements in operating margins and growth across key markets. However, this positive news failed to translate into sustained share price gains. In December 2024, co-founder Larry Diamond stepped down from his roles as director and US chair, a move that initially triggered a 4% drop in the company’s share price. Markets may have interpreted this as a sign of uncertainty regarding Zip’s future direction.

Further impacting sentiment, Zip was removed from the ASX 200 index in September 2022 due to a decline in market capitalization. Such removals often lead to reduced visibility and selling pressure from index-tracking funds. Zip re-joined the ASX 200 in July 2024, replacing Altium Limited. In April 2025, the company announced a share buyback program of up to A$50 million, aiming to capitalize on the share price slump and demonstrate confidence in its prospects. While this initially boosted the share price by 8%, the long-term impact has been limited.

Earlier in 2025, Zip reported record quarterly cash earnings and raised its fiscal 2025 earnings forecast, driven by strong performance in its U.S. operations. Despite these positive financial indicators, the share price has struggled to maintain upward momentum, suggesting that other factors are influencing market sentiment.

 

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Zip’s recent performance presents a mixed picture. While strong financial results and strategic initiatives, such as the share buyback, initially provided support, leadership changes, index removal, and prevailing market dynamics have contributed to a negative sentiment, resulting in a significant decline in the share price. The stock’s ability to stabilize around the $3.24 level will be crucial in determining its near-term direction.

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