18 Share Tips – 8th May 2011
James Georges, Patersons Securities BUY RECOMMENDATIONS Westpac Bank (WBC) Chart: Share price over the year to 06/05/2011 versus ASX200 (XJO) The bank just delivered an interim cash profit of $3.168 billion, up 7 per cent on a year ago. It lifted the interim dividend to 76 cents, 11 cents higher than last year. We retain…
18 Share Tips – 1st May 2011
Nicholas Brooks, RBS Morgans BUY RECOMMENDATIONS PanAust Limited (PNA) Chart: Share price over the year to 29/04/2011 versus ASX200 (XJO) Recent takeover activity has sparked investor interest in copper stocks for the short and long term. PNA is a top S&P/200 ASX stock with strong earnings and exciting short term catalysts in the next…
Randomness and the Stochastic Indicator
Trivia question: who said “If you visualise a rocket going up in the air – before it can turn down, it must slow down.’ I agree, it doesn’t sound extremely profound, mostly just common sense. However, the same person added: “Stochastic measures the momentum of price. Momentum always changes direction before price.” The author is…
Discounted Cash Flow Models – The Crown Jewel of Valuation or Black Magic Alchemy
Many sophisticated share market investors hail DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) Models as the one and only way to estimate the true intrinsic value of a company. For them, it is indeed the crown jewel of valuation techniques. Other investors, most notably technical analysts, scoff at DCF models as nothing more than complex smoke and mirrors,…
18 Share Tips – 10 April 2011
Sean Conlan, Macquarie Private Wealth BUY RECOMMENDATIONS Fortescue Metals Group (FMG) Chart: Share price over the year to 08/04/2011 versus ASX200 (XJO) Market fundamentals remain positive, with steel production and prices increasing and iron ore exports declining. We would see any weakness following a further iron ore price correction as a buying opportunity. We…
Cash Flow Ratios – Tools of Choice for the Professional
Newcomers to share market investing quickly learn the near universal acclaim awarded the Price to Earnings Ratio (P/E). As a valuation ratio, it reflects the share price the market is willing to pay for each dollar in earnings the company generates. However, as those same newcomers continue their education they soon discover that the tools…
18 Share Tips – 20th March 2011
Gavin Wendt, MineLife BUY RECOMMENDATIONS Clean Global Energy (CGV) Chart: Share price over the year to 18/03/2011 versus ASX200 (XJO) Its aim is to become a major global alternative energy company by utilising underground coal gasification (UCG). It involves exploiting coal that’s typically uneconomical to mine through conventional processes. Recent agreements place the company…
Play The CFD Market Like A Professional
For CFD users, pairs trading is a standard strategy that lets you ignore the current trend in the overall market, or even in a stock. You make money if your favoured stock – the one you buy – outperforms another similar one that you sell. But there are traps, including the need for close monitoring….
The Buy and Hold Obituary – A Skeptic’s View
In the past several weeks share markets worldwide have been on a daunting roller coaster ride with the rising price of oil and the prospect of a continuing upward price spiral. The 11 March “Days of Rage” in Saudi Arabia came and went without incident serving only to highlight the wild nature of some of…
In Search of the Source of All Ratios – Financial Statements
Ratio Analysis is one of the most widely used investment tools all over the globe. With the exception of the hard-core technical analyst types, most investors rely on financial ratios of all kinds to evaluate shares. It is the cornerstone of fundamental analysis. Even the most recent newcomers to share market investing quickly discover the…
