Analysis & Opinion

What are companies telling us about recession risks?

Inflation is a concern for companies, so too recession. Indeed, the last time managements were talking this much about recession – they were in one. There was an unprecedented amount of inflation talk among US companies at the end of 2021. Inflation is still frequently mentioned in corporate discussions along with wages and supply chains….

Deep and wide – evaluating sustainability impact

Investors are now looking at sustainability through a different lens, trying to influence positive change by directing capital to address ESG challenges. As attitudes evolve, so too must the research strategies employed by the financial sector. Fidelity International’s Jenn-Hui Tan, Global Head of Stewardship and Sustainable Investing, joined forces with Ned Salter, Global Head of…

Toss the coin – What are the odds of an imminent recession?

Well thank goodness for that. We’ve made it past the end of June, and in doing so completed a half year that no investor is likely to want repeated. There have been some brighter spots – the commodity and oil-rich UK stock market has done better than most – but if you’ve kept your head…

Investing “Talk to me Goose”

Slavish adherence to being ‘data driven’ should not be an excuse for avoiding thinking and intuition. The past decade has been vastly more abnormal than normal in the wider lens of history. Using this decade as the basis for future investment settings looks unwise to us. When Maverick clutches the dog tags and whispers the…

Holding plant with sphere of icons around it

Keeping the ESG revolution moving

In the heightened tensions of the current geopolitical environment, the debate around sustainable investing has intensified. On the ground, our 2022 ESG Analyst Survey provides signs of how companies are making progress, but much more needs to be done. Fidelity’s 2022 survey of analysts on sustainability issues comes at a delicate moment. Sustainable investing has…

Can investors bring improved health and wellness to emerging markets?

Impact investing: companies providing health and wellness products and services can make a positive impact on people in emerging markets. Impact investing incorporates dual goals of generating positive contributions to society and the planet, as well as attractive financial returns. We believe this is achieved by investing in the shares of companies which, as well…

Targeted online ads are the success of ‘surveillance capitalism’

But display ads face privacy and regulatory challenges that reduce their effectiveness. In 2007, Jonathan Trenn of the US bought a diamond ring from Overstock.com so as to propose to his girlfriend in a few months’ time on New Year’s Eve. Within hours of buying the ring, Trenn received a “shocking call” from a friend…

US markets in bear territory – misfortune or opportunity?

What we think about the price of an asset largely reflects whether we are a buyer or a seller of it. Most of us don’t have barrels of crude lying around but we do need to put fuel in our cars. We’re naturally inclined, therefore, to think the oil price is too high. On the…

Getting home with a soft landing

Faced with the current spate of delays and cancellations, most of us would accept any kind of landing – hard, soft, skidding to a halt – just get us home, please. For the Federal Reserve (Fed) and other central banks, however, easing the inflationary economy onto the runway safely and comfortably is all that matters….

Fed delivery sees hard landing risk rising

The Federal Reserve (Fed) delivered on hints that it would raise rates by 75bp, reiterating a commitment to bring down inflation. We see increased risks of a hard landing and remain cautious on equities and credit. What Happened? At today’s Federal Open Market Committee meeting, the Fed hiked Fed fund rates by another 75bp, thus…