Trading & Technical Analysis

Silver more bullish than gold

The gold-futures and silver-futures short positions held by speculators have rocketed up to extremes in recent weeks.  These elite traders are aggressively betting for further weakness in gold and silver prices.  But history has proven extreme shorts are a powerful contrarian indicator.  Right as speculators wax the most bearish as evidenced by their collective bets,…

Fed Hikes, Dollar, and Gold

The US dollar has fallen rather sharply over the past year or so, despite ongoing Fed rate hikes.  This persistent dollar weakness has really boosted gold.  There’s a fascinating interplay between these two currencies and futures speculators’ expectations for Fed rate hikes.  These traders hang on every word from top Fed officials, which greatly influences…

Buying on the Dip

While stock price fluctuations are to be expected, during dire and even simply uncertain economic conditions the fluctuations can be wild, some bordering on the irrational.  Such fluctuations often present buying opportunities for investors with an appetite for risk.In today’s market there exists ample opinion to support both a Bear outlook and a moderately Bullish…

Beware The Bear Market

Stock markets are forever cyclical, an endless series of alternating bulls and bears.  And after one of the greatest bulls in US history, odds are a young bear is now gathering steam.  It is being fueled by record Fed tightening, bubble valuations, trade wars, and mounting political turmoil.  Bears are dangerous events driving catastrophic losses for…

Worried Investors Boosting Gold

The recent stock-market selloff is persisting, fueling mounting worries among investors.  The intensifying volatility and lack of a quick rebound higher is strangling euphoric sentiment, spawning self-reinforcing selling pressure.  Scoffed at a few months ago, the notions that a young bear market is underway and a recession looms are gaining traction.  The great beneficiary of…

Junior Gold Mining Stocks Poised To Surge

The junior gold miners’ stocks have spent recent months mostly languishing near major multi-year lows.  That spawned a sentiment wasteland riddled by bearishness and bereft of bids.  But these companies’ battered stock prices aren’t fundamentally righteous, as proven yet again by their latest earnings season.  Faring far better in a challenging third quarter than stock…

Major Gold Mining Stocks Set To Surge

The major gold miners’ stocks remain mired in universal bearishness, largely left for dead.  They are just wrapping up their third-quarter earnings season, which proved challenging.  Lower gold prices cut deeply into cash flows and profits, and production-growth struggles persisted.  But these elite companies did hold the line on costs, portending soaring earnings as gold recovers.  Their…

Gold Shorts Near Record

Gold continues to drift near summer-doldrums lows, feeding and intensifying bearish sentiment.  But an exceedingly-bullish event just happened which will ignite a major new upleg.  Speculators’ gold-futures short positions have soared near all-time record highs!  That means the recent heavy gold selling is exhausted, and massive proportional short-covering buying is imminent.  That will catapult gold…

Gold Hit by Gold Futures Selling

 Gold was enjoying a solid spring rally until a couple weeks ago, nearing major upside breakouts.  But its nice advance has crumbled since, really weighing on sentiment.  Gold fell victim to a rare major short squeeze in US Dollar Index futures.  The surging USDX motivated gold-futures speculators to flee rather aggressively.  But this will likely…

Three reasons not to worry about the stock market ‘crash’

We have been talking about this for the last 12 months: when will financial markets realise that the amazing performance of 2017 was not sustainable? When will stock markets adjust? Are we approaching the next big market crash? When will the bubble burst?Apparently, we now know the answer. A little more than a month into…

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