Trading & Technical Analysis

Defence Stocks to Weather the Storm

On 6 December of 2018 newcomers to share market investing may have been exposed to the term “yield curve” for the first time. The article appearing in thebull.com.au entitled “The ‘curve’ that drives Wall Street crazy” pointed to the yield curve as a possible indicator of an economic recession on the horizon. The curve plots…

Gold Stocks’ Autumn Rally 2019

The gold miners’ stocks have surged dramatically this summer, catapulted higher by gold’s major bull-market breakout. That atypical strength bucking the normal summer-doldrums slump has carried this sector right back to its traditional strong season. That begins with a robust autumn rally starting in late summers. This year’s autumn-rally setup is very unusual, but investment…

When the Smartest People in the Room Get it Wrong

For reasons ranging from time and temperament to financial acumen, many retail investors choose to allow the professionals – the “smartest people in the room” to manage their money. Why endure the pain of picking your own stocks when you can get a wizard at stock picking to do it for you? In the UK,…

Investor Signposts: Week Beginning May 27 2019

Australia: Business investment and credit growth data in focus • In the coming week updates on business investment, building approvals and credit growth feature on the data docket. The figures on investment spending will help formulate views on economic growth for the March quarter. • The week kicks off on Tuesday when the weekly Roy…

Silver more bullish than gold

The gold-futures and silver-futures short positions held by speculators have rocketed up to extremes in recent weeks.  These elite traders are aggressively betting for further weakness in gold and silver prices.  But history has proven extreme shorts are a powerful contrarian indicator.  Right as speculators wax the most bearish as evidenced by their collective bets,…

Fed Hikes, Dollar, and Gold

The US dollar has fallen rather sharply over the past year or so, despite ongoing Fed rate hikes.  This persistent dollar weakness has really boosted gold.  There’s a fascinating interplay between these two currencies and futures speculators’ expectations for Fed rate hikes.  These traders hang on every word from top Fed officials, which greatly influences…

Buying on the Dip

While stock price fluctuations are to be expected, during dire and even simply uncertain economic conditions the fluctuations can be wild, some bordering on the irrational.  Such fluctuations often present buying opportunities for investors with an appetite for risk.In today’s market there exists ample opinion to support both a Bear outlook and a moderately Bullish…

Beware The Bear Market

Stock markets are forever cyclical, an endless series of alternating bulls and bears.  And after one of the greatest bulls in US history, odds are a young bear is now gathering steam.  It is being fueled by record Fed tightening, bubble valuations, trade wars, and mounting political turmoil.  Bears are dangerous events driving catastrophic losses for…

Worried Investors Boosting Gold

The recent stock-market selloff is persisting, fueling mounting worries among investors.  The intensifying volatility and lack of a quick rebound higher is strangling euphoric sentiment, spawning self-reinforcing selling pressure.  Scoffed at a few months ago, the notions that a young bear market is underway and a recession looms are gaining traction.  The great beneficiary of…

Junior Gold Mining Stocks Poised To Surge

The junior gold miners’ stocks have spent recent months mostly languishing near major multi-year lows.  That spawned a sentiment wasteland riddled by bearishness and bereft of bids.  But these companies’ battered stock prices aren’t fundamentally righteous, as proven yet again by their latest earnings season.  Faring far better in a challenging third quarter than stock…