HONG KONG, RAW – Asian shares have risen from a one-year low as US share futures and oil recovered from the previous day’s sell-off, but uncertainty over the impact of the Omicron coronavirus variant has kept investors on edge.
US Treasury yields rose, supporting the dollar after US Fed chair Jerome Powell overnight came close to indicating the Fed would speed up the pace of its asset purchases at its meeting later this month.
“At present the market focus has been on Omicron and the potential that that can disrupt the world, but the real focus should be on the Fed and the rate policy. That’s the biggest shock to come out of the last day or so,” said Kerry Craig global market strategist at JPMorgan Asset Management.
MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan rose 0.6 per cent on Wednesday, as traders felt Tuesday’s declines, which sent the benchmark to its lowest since November 2020, had gone a little far.
Japan’s Nikkei rose 0.7 per cent, also helped by a pick-up in factory activity, while US S&P 500 futures rose 0.6 per cent and Nasdaq futures rose 0.7 per cent as sentiment turned after Dow Jones Industrial Average, the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq Composite had all closed down over 1.5 per cent.
Powell said US central bankers in December would discuss whether to end their bond purchases a few months earlier than had been anticipated, pointing to a strong economy, stalled workforce growth and high inflation that is expected to last into mid-2022.
That pushed US Treasury yields higher. The yield on two-year notes, which reflects short-term interest rate expectations, last stood at 0.6025 per cent.
That was up from as low as 0.4410 per cent on Tuesday, when traders were speculating the new variant could lead to a more dovish Fed.
Benchmark 10-year notes also sold off, last yielding 1.4919 per cent, up from Tuesday’s two-and a half month low of 1.4443 per cent.
Rising yields caused the dollar to steady against most peers and gain ground on the Japanese currency, rising to 113.4 yen .
The Australian dollar languished near a one-year low at $US0.7138 as the stronger dollar meant it sat out gains by other typically risk-friendly assets like Asian equities.
Oil reacted more strongly and prices regained some ground after steep falls in the previous session, before a meeting by the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries.
US West Texas Intermediate crude futures rose 1.9 per cent, to $US67.43 a barrel. Brent crude futures gained 2.22 per cent, to $US70.78 a barrel.
However, there is still much uncertainty about the COVID outlook and governments, scientists and investors are trying to determine how much protection current vaccines would offer against Omicron.
Gold, despite all the excitement, saw little safe-haven demand, with the spot price at $US1,776 an ounce, up 0.16 per cent and largely within its recent range.