Gold prices turned positive on Tuesday as the US dollar lost ground after news that US President Donald Trump replaced Secretary of State Rex Tillerson, while US inflation data was in line with forecasts.
Spot gold was up 0.3 per cent at $US1,326.49 an ounce in afternoon trade, while US gold futures for April delivery settled up 0.5 per cent at $US1,327.10.
Trump fired Tillerson after a series of public rifts over policy on North Korea, Russia and Iran, replacing him with loyalist Central Intelligence Agency Director Mike Pompeo.
‘The US dollar is lower and gold is higher off the Tillerson news. We’ve been seeing this pattern (of gold following the US dollar) because there’s no other strong factor leading to buying gold now,’ said Bill O’Neill, co-founder of Logic Advisors.
The US dollar index relinquished its gains and fell against a basket of currencies, making commodities priced in the greenback cheaper for buyers using other currencies.
Also weighing on the dollar was news that US consumer prices cooled in February, the latest indication that an expected pick-up in inflation is likely to be only gradual.
Some investors had been worried stronger-than-expected CPI data could stoke expectations that the US Federal Reserve will raise interest rates four times rather than three this year.
Higher interest rates typically make gold less attractive since it does not bear interest.
‘Overall the outlook is not looking that great in the short term. I still expect prices to go towards $US1,300, said Georgette Boele, ABN AMRO commodity strategist.
Markets are looking to the next Fed meeting for direction on the pace of US interest rate hikes this year.
‘As we approach next week’s FOMC day, we should see gold come under pressure as it struggles to compete against interest-bearing assets,’ said Daniel Ghali, commodities strategist at TD Securities.
‘Based on our own forecasts, we don’t think such a move will happen for the next few years due to platinum’s weaker fundamentals with the palladium backwardation actually making it more expensive for investors to short the ratio.’